Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 4.341970 5.010542 5.746066 6.615078 7.613649 8.725124 10.056220
2024-12-22 3.305033 4.147183 5.151537 6.436963 8.038205 9.967244 12.468552
2024-12-29 2.815561 3.801568 5.063356 6.794953 9.109003 12.095092 16.243468
2025-01-05 2.401739 3.464018 4.912355 7.028546 10.040473 14.173657 20.280826
2025-01-12 2.018828 3.092314 4.642890 7.041448 10.656329 15.901406 24.096779
2025-01-19 1.628784 2.637350 4.173769 6.678660 10.657828 16.734820 26.729492
2025-01-26 1.463988 2.494067 4.141445 6.959262 11.655611 19.170190 32.119342
2025-02-02 1.366226 2.439632 4.235269 7.445988 13.039575 22.382866 39.190194
2025-02-09 1.229977 2.295877 4.156057 7.623905 13.922222 24.875586 45.389438
2025-02-16 1.101563 2.144051 4.037484 7.708938 14.643558 27.169674 51.534673
2025-02-23 0.955569 1.935723 3.785063 7.508083 14.807555 28.477164 56.041621
2025-03-02 0.813513 1.712215 3.470785 7.140305 14.595940 29.046888 59.204954
2025-03-09 0.739126 1.616724 3.398091 7.251607 15.366406 31.647543 66.815459
2025-03-16 0.646840 1.469352 3.199981 7.078351 15.536754 33.090126 72.304130
2025-03-23 0.616981 1.452556 3.271424 7.485927 16.986604 37.341064 84.278903
2025-03-30 0.577928 1.408782 3.278092 7.752272 18.167481 41.181176 95.909091
2025-04-06 0.525288 1.324790 3.182569 7.772321 18.796762 43.901496 105.419235
2025-04-13 0.452434 1.180115 2.925811 7.375817 18.400440 44.262413 109.536726
2025-04-20 0.430625 1.159236 2.960179 7.687575 19.743304 48.820134 124.263273
2025-04-27 0.422364 1.171952 3.078595 8.226060 21.721945 55.148471 144.198677
2025-05-04 0.396793 1.134505 3.064899 8.423334 22.862468 59.575707 159.965468
2025-05-11 0.368804 1.085893 3.015098 8.517776 23.747856 63.476903 174.913577
2025-05-18 0.330402 1.001592 2.857693 8.296488 23.754369 65.113420 184.081635